"Zero Tolerance" at the Border: Rhetoric vs. Reality

The latest available case-by-case records for May 2018 reveal a total of 9,216 new federal prosecutions were brought as a result of referrals from Customs and Border Protection (CBP) in the five federal judicial districts along the southwest border. May numbers were up 11.1 percent from the 8,298 such prosecutions recorded during April, and up 44.7 percent over March figures. This increase follows Attorney General Jeff Sessions' April 6, 2018 announcement, of a "zero-tolerance policy" for those who "illegally cross over our border."

While the policy has resulted in an increase in criminal prosecutions, the so-called "zero-tolerance" as implemented continued to fall far short of the reality on the ground. During May southwest border apprehensions continued to dwarf the number of criminal prosecutions. In May 2018, CBP reported that the Border Patrol apprehended 40,338 individuals along the southwest border trying to illegally enter the country. And this does not count individuals at ports-of-entry who were found seeking to unlawfully enter using fraudulent documents, or individuals caught at ports-of-entry illegally smuggling individuals, drugs, or cargo.


Figure 1: Criminal Immigration Prosecutions
over the last 20 years

In May 2018, a generous estimate indicates criminal prosecutions were still at most only 32 percent of total Border Patrol apprehensions. See Figure 1. This estimate eliminates apprehensions of children who presumably weren't subject to the zero-tolerance prosecution policy, and also excludes arrests at ports of entry. Including either or both of these groups would result in criminal prosecutions numbers representing an even smaller proportion of total CBP apprehensions.

These prosecution counts are based upon government case-by-case records on each prosecution referred by CBP to U.S. Attorney offices[1]. Obtained as the result of successful litigation brought by the co-directors of the Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse (TRAC) at Syracuse University, these detailed records were analyzed by TRAC to gauge progress on the implementation of the Administration's zero-tolerance policy. Estimated Border Patrol apprehensions that exclude children (those under 18 who were apprehended as part of a family unit or unaccompanied) use Border Patrol records also obtained by TRAC with the age of each person who was taken into custody[2]. For additional results, see last month's TRAC report on southwest border prosecutions.

Zero-Tolerance and Family Separations

Family separations, the Administration stated, was the inevitable consequence of prosecuting everyone caught illegally entering this country. As the press widely reported, "[t]he Justice Department can't prosecute children along with their parents, so the natural result of the zero-tolerance policy has been a sharp rise in family separations. Nearly 2,000 immigrant children were separated from parents during six weeks in April and May, according to the Department of Homeland Security."[3]

However, since less than a third of adults apprehended illegally crossing the border were actually referred for prosecution, the stated justification does not explain why this Administration chose to prosecute parents with children over prosecuting adults without children who were also apprehended in even larger numbers. As shown in Table 1, the total number of adults apprehended without children during May 2018 was 24,465. This is much larger than the 9,216 adults that the administration chose to prosecute that month.

Table 1. Border Patrol Apprehensions of Adults vs. Criminal Prosecutions
Southwest Border Apr 2018 May 2018
Criminal Prosecutions:
Referred by CBP 8,298 9,216
Border Patrol Apprehensions:
Adults without Children 24,299 24,465
Adults with Children 4,536 4,458

Thus, the so-called zero-tolerance policy didn't as a practical matter eliminate prosecutorial discretion. Since less than one out of three adults were actually prosecuted, CBP personnel had to choose which individuals among those apprehended to refer to federal prosecutors[4]. The Administration has not explained its rationale for prosecuting parents with children when that left so many other adults without children who were not being referred for prosecution.

Nor does the zero-tolerance policy explain why so many adults also had their children taken from them who were not prosecuted. For more background, see TRAC's report on the latest case-by-case Border Patrol data.

Where Along the Southwest Border Were Prosecutions in May Concentrated?

While CBP criminal prosecutions increased in all five federal judicial districts long the southwest border in April, trends diverged during May. The most prosecutions during May (3,996) occurred in the Southern District of Texas - with double the number (1,959) that had occurred during April. The Southern District of California also recorded an increase. That district had the lowest number in April among the five border districts, but climbed past New Mexico's prosecution numbers in May.

In contrast, the number of recorded prosecutions actually fell in the Western District of Texas in May. During April, that district had recorded the largest number among the five districts with 2,767 prosecutions. Prosecutions during May in West Texas fell to 2,308. As shown in Table 2, May totals were also somewhat lower in Arizona and New Mexico than April prosecution numbers.

Federal prosecutors also reported prosecutions within districts by the specific border community where they were stationed. Trends in each of these specific border areas within the five districts along the southwest border are shown in Table 3.

In May, among these border areas, prosecutions from CBP referrals were highest in McAllen, Texas in the Southern District of Texas. A total of 2,079 prosecutions were recorded there in May alone - up from 841 in April. Prosecutions also rose in Brownsville, Corpus Christi, and Del Rio, Texas, as well as in Yuma, Arizona.

Other communities experienced declines. While Tucson, Arizona, had the largest number of recorded prosecutions during April (1,392), its numbers in May fell to 1,149. Despite this decline, in May Tucson, still had the third largest total for criminal prosecutions, just below prosecution numbers in Del Rio, Texas. Las Cruces, New Mexico, Laredo and Pecos/Alpine, Texas also saw declines.

Year and Month Total SW Border Arizona Cal, S. N. Mexico Texas, S Texas, W.
2007-05 2,765 1,115 334 164 991 161
2007-06 2,769 979 247 165 1,202 176
2007-07 2,181 658 328 174 811 210
2007-08 2,813 658 414 216 1,224 301
2007-09 3,422 575 406 209 1,810 422
2007-10 3,119 589 228 137 1,839 326
2007-11 2,351 402 307 156 1,319 167
2007-12 2,944 422 345 107 1,342 728
2008-01 3,014 965 332 131 990 596
2008-02 5,343 1,241 422 146 1,052 2,482
2008-03 7,169 1,571 577 556 1,232 3,233
2008-04 6,844 1,796 398 815 1,287 2,548
2008-05 6,977 1,657 407 824 2,512 1,577
2008-06 7,500 1,644 567 820 3,038 1,431
2008-07 6,900 1,639 371 604 2,395 1,891
2008-08 5,108 1,248 356 416 1,755 1,333
2008-09 9,893 1,667 648 733 5,024 1,821
2008-10 7,611 1,757 266 438 4,058 1,092
2008-11 5,667 1,413 208 387 2,728 931
2008-12 5,234 1,483 382 313 2,154 902
2009-01 5,685 1,638 281 391 1,772 1,603
2009-02 5,683 1,763 251 423 1,497 1,749
2009-03 7,044 1,974 360 578 2,078 2,054
2009-04 6,565 1,857 357 553 2,317 1,481
2009-05 5,599 1,736 201 515 1,841 1,306
2009-06 7,482 2,152 274 508 3,266 1,282
2009-07 7,110 2,205 245 529 3,064 1,067
2009-08 6,582 1,833 292 620 2,785 1,052
2009-09 7,346 2,190 559 643 2,545 1,409
2009-10 5,767 2,035 235 396 2,213 888
2009-11 5,221 2,341 262 325 1,709 584
2009-12 5,454 1,616 273 303 1,929 1,333
2010-01 4,535 1,761 253 359 1,283 879
2010-02 5,149 1,703 357 408 1,518 1,163
2010-03 6,798 2,502 315 603 1,761 1,617
2010-04 7,691 2,465 387 709 2,269 1,861
2010-05 7,451 2,756 316 608 2,308 1,463
2010-06 6,784 2,869 312 433 1,953 1,217
2010-07 5,476 2,762 276 283 1,166 989
2010-08 5,616 2,652 351 319 1,427 867
2010-09 6,714 2,075 879 309 2,428 1,023
2010-10 5,021 1,992 250 275 1,541 963
2010-11 5,012 1,962 290 271 1,632 857
2010-12 4,295 1,901 253 188 1,235 718
2011-01 4,187 1,653 221 242 1,539 532
2011-02 5,037 1,873 275 320 1,635 934
2011-03 6,592 2,623 240 632 2,169 928
2011-04 7,585 2,840 304 618 2,140 1,683
2011-05 6,664 2,620 320 499 1,901 1,324
2011-06 6,773 2,692 391 372 1,964 1,354
2011-07 5,401 1,813 426 318 1,588 1,256
2011-08 6,258 2,236 435 310 2,115 1,162
2011-09 6,390 1,869 689 302 2,293 1,237
2011-10 6,210 2,504 315 246 1,788 1,357
2011-11 5,358 2,259 324 188 1,768 819
2011-12 4,817 1,813 247 178 1,448 1,131
2012-01 5,867 2,504 226 251 1,667 1,219
2012-02 6,041 2,393 247 351 1,832 1,218
2012-03 6,532 2,236 290 448 1,953 1,605
2012-04 7,772 2,978 248 411 2,265 1,870
2012-05 8,527 2,786 354 339 2,331 2,717
2012-06 7,356 3,683 288 420 1,940 1,025
2012-07 7,751 2,952 336 328 2,304 1,831
2012-08 7,296 1,905 335 487 3,081 1,488
2012-09 7,159 2,210 487 497 2,886 1,079
2012-10 6,169 2,317 267 516 2,346 723
2012-11 7,232 2,111 280 412 2,193 2,236
2012-12 9,268 1,911 263 341 3,402 3,351
2013-01 7,760 2,152 227 384 2,715 2,282
2013-02 6,143 1,794 230 519 1,761 1,839
2013-03 7,890 1,867 226 581 3,219 1,997
2013-04 8,228 2,323 232 620 2,838 2,215
2013-05 8,083 1,542 268 737 3,298 2,238
2013-06 6,636 2,214 213 525 2,302 1,382
2013-07 6,705 2,189 233 502 1,900 1,881
2013-08 6,440 2,165 239 466 2,193 1,377
2013-09 6,454 2,053 385 503 1,919 1,594
2013-10 5,826 2,209 222 261 1,990 1,144
2013-11 5,529 1,911 210 238 1,795 1,375
2013-12 5,356 2,335 262 224 1,421 1,114
2014-01 4,959 2,309 215 192 1,069 1,174
2014-02 5,434 2,195 202 264 1,395 1,378
2014-03 5,810 2,178 239 292 1,404 1,697
2014-04 7,398 2,462 331 356 2,346 1,903
2014-05 7,070 2,598 263 318 2,235 1,656
2014-06 6,543 2,121 303 325 1,932 1,862
2014-07 8,091 1,729 215 321 4,500 1,326
2014-08 7,590 1,919 242 280 4,137 1,012
2014-09 8,857 2,455 502 441 3,967 1,492
2014-10 6,254 2,315 251 279 2,247 1,162
2014-11 4,705 1,755 228 254 1,507 961
2014-12 5,717 2,027 201 291 2,218 980
2015-01 4,514 1,669 224 247 1,748 626
2015-02 5,344 1,739 231 248 1,901 1,225
2015-03 6,398 2,012 295 372 2,655 1,064
2015-04 6,300 1,715 229 406 2,114 1,836
2015-05 5,782 1,658 252 285 1,948 1,639
2015-06 5,887 1,344 240 350 2,360 1,593
2015-07 5,370 1,214 229 385 2,140 1,402
2015-08 5,191 1,451 205 322 1,932 1,281
2015-09 6,286 1,465 279 471 2,526 1,545
2015-10 5,206 1,429 184 314 2,039 1,240
2015-11 4,454 967 147 322 1,863 1,155
2015-12 5,849 1,083 169 370 2,438 1,789
2016-01 4,816 1,221 147 271 2,057 1,120
2016-02 5,118 1,366 185 321 2,269 977
2016-03 6,608 1,366 234 429 2,532 2,047
2016-04 6,170 1,614 180 444 2,254 1,678
2016-05 6,010 1,365 209 588 2,099 1,749
2016-06 5,275 1,242 274 379 1,367 2,013
2016-07 4,028 1,168 252 207 1,014 1,387
2016-08 4,588 1,151 287 280 1,312 1,558
2016-09 5,028 1,189 415 402 1,608 1,414
2016-10 4,156 1,119 224 229 1,230 1,354
2016-11 4,700 1,366 207 246 1,123 1,758
2016-12 4,396 989 225 229 1,069 1,884
2017-01 4,013 1,250 228 219 1,078 1,238
2017-02 3,773 1,056 230 241 1,070 1,176
2017-03 3,849 1,161 267 214 1,160 1,047
2017-04 3,150 863 207 210 972 898
2017-05 3,807 1,311 257 305 1,205 729
2017-06 4,728 1,702 308 496 1,164 1,058
2017-07 4,467 1,472 287 564 1,300 844
2017-08 5,076 1,610 389 663 1,277 1,137
2017-09 5,577 1,489 627 766 1,191 1,504
2017-10 5,077 1,451 354 748 1,321 1,203
2017-11 4,320 1,257 354 610 780 1,319
2017-12 4,279 1,226 378 487 939 1,249
2018-01 5,191 1,422 432 563 1,417 1,357
2018-02 4,937 1,111 472 586 1,478 1,290
2018-03 6,368 1,443 541 844 1,905 1,635
2018-04 8,298 1,671 720 1,181 1,959 2,767
2018-05 9,216 1,411 764 737 3,996 2,308
             
May vs Apr '18 11.1% -15.6% 6.1% -37.6% 104.0% -16.6%
May vs Mar '18 44.7% -2.2% 41.2% -12.7% 109.8% 41.2%
Table 3. Criminal Prosecutions of CBP Referrals, January 2018 - May 2018
Federal District* Total Jan 2018 Feb 2018 Mar 2018 Apr 2018 May 2018
Southwest Border 34,010 5,191 4,937 6,368 8,298 9,216
Arizona
Phoenix 566 97 94 157 163 55
Tucson 5,644 1,065 896 1,142 1,392 1,149
Yuma 860 262 123 145 119 211
California, S
El Centro 744 115 166 166 128 169
Imperial County 3 0 0 0 0 3
San Diego 2,170 315 304 374 589 588
New Mexico
Albuquerque 227 26 31 39 86 45
Las Cruces 3,684 537 555 805 1,095 692
Texas, S
Brownsville 1,420 159 124 140 223 774
Corpus Christi 813 75 52 80 129 477
Houston 8 1 3 0 1 3
Laredo 3,668 552 741 971 761 643
McAllen 4,815 625 557 713 841 2,079
Victoria 31 5 1 1 4 20
Texas, W
Austin 116 12 15 13 44 32
Del Rio 4,340 584 570 937 1,024 1,225
El Paso 3,357 706 596 555 894 606
Midland 3 0 1 2 0 0
Pecos/Alpine 1,541 55 108 128 805 445
* Within federal districts, border communities are where the federal prosecutor was based.

Footnotes

[1] Figures also included illegal entry and illegal re-entry referrals that federal prosecutors recorded as coming from U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services since during past periods actual apprehensions appear to have been by CBP.

[2] This case-by-case data providing a breakdown of adults versus children making up apprehended family units can be viewed at: http://trac.syr.edu/phptools/immigration/cbparrest/. Both in March and in April 2018, children made up 53 percent of the individual apprehended in family units. For May, this same ratio was used in deriving the proportion of adults prosecuted.

[3] See, for example, June 19, 2018 Washington Post article at: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fact-checker/wp/2018/06/19/the-facts-about-trumps-policy- of-separating-families-at-the-border/

[4] Virtually every CBP referral results in prosecution. For example, during May 2018, federal prosecutors recorded only declining to prosecute 10 CBP referrals. Every referral in Arizona, New Mexico, and the Western District of Texas was prosecuted, none were declined. While in the Southern District of California and the Southern District of Texas, 99.7 percent and 99.8 percent, respectively, were prosecuted.

TRAC is a nonpartisan, nonprofit data research center affiliated with the Newhouse School of Public Communications and the Whitman School of Management, both at Syracuse University. For more information, to subscribe, or to donate, contact trac@syr.edu or call 315-443-3563.